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Trend measurement

Unit 7: Analysis of Time SeriesTopic 2 of 3
Browse the Business Statistics syllabus

Business Statistics

13 units
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What the syllabus expects

  • Semi-average method
  • Moving-average method
  • Least-squares method

Trend measurement

Bachelor of Business Studies (BBS) — First Year

Subject: Business Statistics (MGT 202)

Unit 7: Analysis of Time Series

Academic Year: 2083/84

Topic Objectives

After studying this topic, students should be able to:

  • Explain the scope and key elements of trend measurement.
  • Select suitable statistical procedures, carry out calculations and interpret business results.

Curriculum Scope

  • Semi-average method
  • Moving-average method
  • Least-squares method

Detailed Microsyllabus

  1. Average-based trend methods

    1. Semi-average trend calculation.
    2. Moving averages and the choice of period.
    3. Centering when required by the averaging period.

  2. Least-squares trend

    1. Fit an appropriate linear trend with time coding.
    2. Interpret coefficients and estimated trend values.
    3. Compare fitted trend with observed fluctuations.

Curriculum reference: Tribhuvan University, Faculty of Management, BBS curriculum with first-year syllabus, PDF pages 14-16.

Source note: The curriculum scope above is retained from the existing TU syllabus breakdown. The numbered study subtopics are editorial elaborations for teaching and study, rather than a separately issued TU syllabus. Unit lecture hours apply to the whole unit; no separate topic hours or marks are assigned here.